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Ekonomi Teknik [5] October 12, 2008

Posted by desrinda in Ekonomi Teknik.
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Pak Farizal masuk ke pembahasan mengenai Estimating for Economis Analysis. We should give 85% ouf our time and effort to:
– Define the situation
– Estimates cost and benefits
– Determine cash flows
– Determine interest rates, MARR
The rest of 15% to run the numbers.

Estimation is not an easy task and could be wrong. Good estimations have mora than single number. While qualitative method relies on gut feeling and experts’ judgment, then quantitative method includes time series technique and cost engineering techniques.

Untuk project (bobotnya 20% dari keseluruhan penilaian untuk kuliah ini), sebelum tanggal 1 November 2008 setiap mahasiswa harus memilih salah satu dari topik di bawah ini dan menentukan 1-2 bahan referensinya (harus dari jurnal yang diterbitkan sesudah tahun 2003). Setiap topik dipilih oleh maksimal 2 orang mahasiswa:
– Capital budgeting
– Cost of capital or MARR
– Lease-buy decision
– Consideration of multiply objectives and criteria in analysis
– Fuzzy cash flow analysis
– Rate of return method (IRR, ERR)
– Benefit-cost ratio method
– Payback method
– Replacement analysis
– Economic evaluation of advanced manufacturing system
– Energy economics
– Forecasting economic consequences
– Economic stochastic models
– Sensitivity analysis
– Risk analysis
– Inflation
– Government agencies and public utility analysis method
– Cost engineering method

Bisa saja dipilih dari topik selain yang disebutkan di atas, dengan persetujuan Pak Farizal. Selanjutnya bahan tersebut dibuatkan laporan (artikel) sepanjang 10-12 halaman, diserahkan pada tanggal 13 Desember 2008.

Tugas meliputi juga improving on the models presented (or suggest some development) and providing example(s) of the improvement. The least action can be done is applying the models to different numerical examples. Sounds big, doesn’t it?

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